Temporal Concept Drift in Legal Judgment Prediction: Neural Baselines Across Three Epochs of Ukrainian Court Decisions
Paper • 2605.24452 • Published
Datasets:
item_id string | case_name string | respondent string | article string | violation_label string | verdict_free_text string | original_length int64 | verdict_free_length int64 | retention_percentage float64 | verdict_removal_method string | decision_date string | application_number string | importance string | ecli string | article_full string | group string | bin string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
001-173500 | CASE OF NIKOGHOSYAN v. ARMENIA | ARMENIA | 1 | violation | FIRST SECTION
CASE OF NIKOGHOSYAN v. ARMENIA
(Application no. 75651/11)
JUDGMENT
STRASBOURG
18 May 2017
This judgment is final but it may be subject to editorial revision. In the case of Nikoghosyan v. Armenia,
The European Court of Human Rights (First Section), sit... | 28,787 | 8,845 | 30.7 | court_assessment_start | 2017-05-18 | 75651/11 | 4 | ECLI:CE:ECHR:2017:0518JUD007565111 | P1-1 | regular_temporal | 2017 |
001-178378 | CASE OF FUCHSHUBER v. AUSTRIA | AUSTRIA | 6 | violation | FIFTH SECTION
CASE OF FUCHSHUBER v. AUSTRIA
(Application no. 15813/13)
JUDGMENT
STRASBOURG
9 November 2017
This judgment is final but it may be subject to editorial revision. In the case of Fuchshuber v. Austria,
The European Court of Human Rights (Fifth Section... | 5,222 | 2,731 | 52.3 | court_assessment_start+conclusion_scrub | 2017-11-09 | 15813/13 | 4 | ECLI:CE:ECHR:2017:1109JUD001581313 | 6 | regular_temporal | 2017 |
001-171486 | CASE OF BAYRAMLI v. AZERBAIJAN | AZERBAIJAN | 5 | violation | FIFTH SECTION
CASE OF BAYRAMLI v. AZERBAIJAN
(Applications nos. 72230/11 and 43061/13)
JUDGMENT
STRASBOURG
16 February 2017
This judgment is final but it may be subject to editorial revision. In the case of Bayramli v. Azerbaijan,
The European Court of Human Rights ... | 46,756 | 10,549 | 22.6 | court_assessment_start | 2017-02-16 | 72230/11;43061/13 | 4 | ECLI:CE:ECHR:2017:0216JUD007223011 | 5 | regular_temporal | 2017 |
001-170633 | CASE OF HABRAN AND DALEM v. BELGIUM | BELGIUM | 6 | no_violation | SECOND SECTION
CASE OF HABRAN AND DALEM v. BELGIUM
(Applications nos. 43000/11 and 49380/11)
JUDGMENT
(extracts)
STRASBOURG
17 January 2017
FINAL
29/05/2017
This judgment became final in the circumstances set out in Article 44 § 2 of the Convention. It may be subject to edito... | 46,108 | 45,655 | 99 | court_assessment_start | 2017-01-17 | 43000/11;49380/11 | 3 | ECLI:CE:ECHR:2017:0117JUD004300011 | 6 | regular_temporal | 2017 |
001-179569 | CASE OF MANDIĆ AND POPOVIĆ v. BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA | BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA | 6 | violation | FOURTH SECTION
CASE OF MANDIĆ AND POPOVIĆ
v. BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
(Applications nos. 73944/13 and 78987/13)
JUDGMENT
STRASBOURG
19 December 2017
This judgment is final but it may be subject to editorial revision. In the cases of Mandić and Popović v. Bosnia and Herz... | 8,869 | 5,952 | 67.1 | court_assessment_start+conclusion_scrub | 2017-12-19 | 73944/13;78987/13 | 4 | ECLI:CE:ECHR:2017:1219JUD007394413 | 6 | regular_temporal | 2017 |
001-170361 | CASE OF STAMOVA v. BULGARIA | BULGARIA | 13 | violation | FIFTH SECTION
CASE OF STAMOVA v. BULGARIA
(Application no. 8725/07)
JUDGMENT
STRASBOURG
19 January 2017
FINAL
19/04/2017
This judgment has become final under Article 44 § 2 of the Convention. It may be subject to editorial revision. In the case of Stamova v. Bulgaria,
The Eur... | 58,155 | 12,970 | 22.3 | court_assessment_start | 2017-01-19 | 8725/07 | 4 | ECLI:CE:ECHR:2017:0119JUD000872507 | 13 | regular_temporal | 2017 |
001-175142 | CASE OF Ž.B. v. CROATIA | CROATIA | 8 | violation | SECOND SECTION
CASE OF Ž.B. v. CROATIA
(Application no. 47666/13)
JUDGMENT
STRASBOURG
11 July 2017
FINAL
11/10/2017
This judgment has become final under Article 44 § 2 of the Convention. It may be subject to editorial revision. In the case of Ž.B. v. Croatia,
The European C... | 43,510 | 38,132 | 87.6 | court_assessment_start | 2017-07-11 | 47666/13 | 4 | ECLI:CE:ECHR:2017:0711JUD004766613 | 8 | regular_temporal | 2017 |
001-178174 | CASE OF KAMENOS v. CYPRUS | CYPRUS | 6 | violation | "THIRD SECTION\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n \nCASE OF KAMENOS v. CYPRUS\n \n(Application no. 147/(...TRUNCATED) | 103,061 | 84,718 | 82.2 | court_assessment_start | 2017-10-31 | 147/07 | 3 | ECLI:CE:ECHR:2017:1031JUD000014707 | 6 | regular_temporal | 2017 |
001-172460 | CASE OF GÜZELYURTLU AND OTHERS v. CYPRUS AND TURKEY | CYPRUS AND TURKEY | 2 | violation | "THIRD SECTION\n \n \n \n \n \n \nCASE OF GÜZELYURTLU AND OTHERS v. CYPRUS AND TURKEY\n \n((...TRUNCATED) | 289,360 | 161,952 | 56 | court_assessment_start | 2017-04-04 | 36925/07 | 2 | ECLI:CE:ECHR:2017:0404JUD003692507 | 2 | regular_temporal | 2017 |
001-177354 | CASE OF BERÁNEK v. THE CZECH REPUBLIC | CZECH REPUBLIC | 6 | violation | "FIRST SECTION\n \n \n \n \n \n \nCASE OF BERÁNEK v. THE CZECH REPUBLIC\n \n(Application no.(...TRUNCATED) | 10,194 | 6,454 | 63.3 | court_assessment_start+conclusion_scrub | 2017-10-05 | 45758/14 | 4 | ECLI:CE:ECHR:2017:1005JUD004575814 | 6 | regular_temporal | 2017 |
End of preview. Expand in Data Studio
echr-livehrb-temporal-2k
Temporally binned evaluation split for LiveHumanRightsBench (ECtHR human-rights judgment prediction). Two temporal contamination-control axes, built from verdict-free (contamination-controlled) ECtHR text.
- regular_temporal (1000): ex-Ukraine cases from
overthelex/echr-verdict-free, binned by decision year over 2017-2026 (100/bin), round-robin stratified by respondent country. Supports per-model pre/post training-cutoff analysis and temporal-drift plots (arXiv:2605.24452). - ukr_temporal (1000): from
overthelex/echr-ukr-verdict-free, split at Russia's full-scale invasion (2022-02-24): 500 pre / 500 post, round-robin by ECHR article -> geopolitical-shift axis.
Natural violation/no-violation base rate preserved (base-rate balancing is a separate task). Public HUDOC sources only -> redistributable. Seed=42. Full judgments/decisions only (HUDOC doctype 001); Information Note summaries (002) excluded.
Columns
item_id, case_name, respondent, article, violation_label, verdict_free_text, decision_date, application_number, importance, ecli, group (regular_temporal | ukr_temporal), bin (year string | pre_2022 | post_2022), plus length fields.
Usage
from datasets import load_dataset
ds = load_dataset("overthelex/echr-livehrb-temporal-2k", split="train")
# per-year drift on regular cases
y2024 = ds.filter(lambda r: r["group"] == "regular_temporal" and r["bin"] == "2024")
# Ukraine pre/post full-scale invasion
ukr_pre = ds.filter(lambda r: r["bin"] == "pre_2022")
ukr_post = ds.filter(lambda r: r["bin"] == "post_2022")
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